India Might Be Attacked By The 4th Covid Wave In June; Prompts IIT Experts
A recent study showed that India is about to face the 4th covid wave by June 22. It is predicted that it will be continued approximately for 4 months.
This study was conducted by the researchers at the Indian Institute of Technology-Kanpur. They used a statistical model to carry out the prediction. The researchers conveyed that “The seriousness of the next variant depends on the nature, the vaccination levels, and booster doses.”
This finding was done by IIT Kanpur’s Mathematics department. It was led by Sabara Prashad Rajeshbhai, Subhra Sankar Dhar and Shalabh. The research was done using a mixture of Gaussian distribution based on the data on Zimbabwe.
When Is The 4th Wave Ready To Set In India?
The study suggests that the 4th wave will start after 936 days. The initial date from the records is January 30, 2022. Thus from the above research, it is estimated to start from June 22, 2022. The 4th wave will reach its peak on August 23, 2022. The 4th wave might end on October 24, 2022.
However, the severity of the 4th wave may vary from August 15, 2022, to August 31, 2022.
What Is The Seriousness Of The Next Variant?
A recent study in the United States reported that” The next covid variant can start in two different ways and there are no ways to prove that new variant will be less severe than the previous variant. The first probability is that Omicron may continue to grow, creating a new Omicron-plus variant that is more serious than BA .1 or BA. 2.
The second probability is that a new unrelated variant might evolve. This report was stated by the famous virologist Jesse Bloom, at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Centre in Seattle.
The members of the World Health Organisation notified an alert that Omicron might not be the last covid variant and the next variants can spread faster. Wear masks for your safety and for others’ safety too!